Data Coverage and Zestimate® Accuracy

The home data we have compiled to generate a Zestimate home valuation varies by location. Some counties provide all the data we could hope for, but others are lacking such key things as the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, or, in some cases, the square footage of the home. The more data we have, the more accurate the Zestimate. And, we've made it easier for our users to help us improve accuracy by incorporating edited home facts into our Zestimate calculations. In some areas, we might not be able to produce a Zestimate at all, but we do have some basic information on the homes. The tables below show you where we have Zestimates and other home information.

To measure the accuracy of the Zestimates, we've gone back in time and compared the historic Zestimates with the actual transaction prices of homes that sold. The tables below also provide various measures of that accuracy.

What's a Zestimate?

A Zestimate home valuation is Zillow's estimated market value. It is not an appraisal. Use it as a starting point to determine a home's value. Learn more.

  • Virginia Counties

Virginia

County Zestimate Accuracy % Homes on Zillow % Homes With Zestimates Within 5% of Sale price Within 10% of Sale Price Within 20% of Sale Price Median Error
Albemarle 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Amherst 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Arlington 93% 93% 45% 69% 87% 5.9%
Bedford 73% 0% -- -- -- --
Campbell 27% 0% -- -- -- --
Caroline 99% 99% 26% 45% 65% 12.2%
Charles City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Chesterfield 99% 99% 36% 63% 83% 7.2%
Clarke 84% 0% -- -- -- --
Culpeper 99% 99% 20% 37% 64% 13.9%
Fairfax 78% 77% 36% 61% 85% 7.6%
Fauquier 99% 99% 33% 55% 77% 8.7%
Fluvanna 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Frederick 94% 76% 29% 56% 77% 9.0%
Gloucester 58% 0% -- -- -- --
Goochland 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Hanover 99% 99% 40% 63% 82% 6.6%
Henrico 96% 96% 44% 67% 85% 6.1%
Isle of Wight 91% 0% -- -- -- --
James City 99% 99% 38% 59% 77% 7.0%
King George 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Loudoun 99% 99% 32% 54% 80% 9.0%
Madison 44% 0% -- -- -- --
Mathews 18% 0% -- -- -- --
Montgomery 69% 0% -- -- -- --
New Kent 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Orange 99% 99% 17% 31% 56% 16.4%
Page 93% 0% -- -- -- --
Prince George 95% 0% -- -- -- --
Prince William 90% 86% 26% 45% 71% 11.4%
Rappahannock 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Roanoke 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Scott 30% 0% -- -- -- --
Shenandoah 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Spotsylvania 99% 99% 29% 48% 71% 10.4%
Stafford 99% 99% 34% 61% 87% 7.9%
Warren 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Washington 99% 0% -- -- -- --
York 90% 90% 49% 72% 86% 5.1%
Alexandria City 96% 96% 43% 68% 84% 5.8%
Bristol City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Charlottesville City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Chesapeake City 98% 98% 50% 72% 85% 5.1%
Colonial Heights City 87% 0% -- -- -- --
Danville City 61% 0% -- -- -- --
Fairfax City 87% 0% -- -- -- --
Falls Church City 95% 0% -- -- -- --
Fredericksburg City 99% 99% 27% 47% 75% 10.6%
Hampton City 92% 92% 37% 63% 83% 6.9%
Hopewell City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Lynchburg City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Manassas City 91% 90% 35% 57% 81% 8.0%
Manassas Park City 99% 99% 27% 48% 74% 10.3%
Newport News City 99% 99% 45% 66% 82% 6.0%
Norfolk City 99% 99% 26% 47% 73% 10.4%
Petersburg City 63% 0% -- -- -- --
Portsmouth City 93% 91% 31% 57% 80% 8.4%
Richmond City 99% 99% 23% 44% 69% 11.8%
Roanoke City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Salem City 92% 0% -- -- -- --
Suffolk City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Virginia Beach City 97% 94% 38% 57% 75% 7.9%
Williamsburg City 99% 0% -- -- -- --
Winchester City 92% 0% -- -- -- --

Last updated: June 4, 2008
Note: Zestimate accuracy is computed by comparing the final sale price to the Zestimate on or before the sale date. The data herein is computed for the three-month period ending Dec. 31, 2007.

Click here to download an Excel spreadsheet of this data.

Definitions

Zestimate Accuracy/Star Rating:
This rating is tied to the Median Error in an area.
The ratings are as follows:
  • Four Stars = Best Zestimate
  • Three Stars = Good Zestimate
  • Two Stars = Fair Zestimate
  • One Star = Tax assessor's value, or unable to compute Zestimate accuracy
  • 0 stars = No valuation
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Tax Assessor's Value

Depending on the jurisdiction where you live, this value could be the tax assessed, tax appraised, or market assessed value. This value comes from the taxing authority of the city, county or state where you live; this is not Zillow's value.

Note: Tax assessor's values differ from Zillow's Zestimate, which is computed by entering numerous data points into a proprietary formula, often resulting in a more accurate value estimate.

Homes on Zillow:
This indicates the percentage of homes for which we have data (e.g., number of bedrooms or bathrooms) in a particular locale. These are the homes you can find via maps or search on Zillow.com.
Homes With Zestimates:
We can only calculate Zestimates for homes where we have certain data, including transactions. This column indicates the percentage of homes in an area with Zestimates.
Within 5% of Sale Price:
This is the percentage of transactions in a location for which the Zestimate was within 5% of the transaction price. For example, in the Portland area, 35% of the time the Zestimate was within 5% of the selling price.
Within 10% of Sale Price:
This is the percentage of transactions in a location for which the Zestimate was within 10% of the transaction price.
Within 20% of Sale Price:
This is the percentage of transactions in a location for which the Zestimate was within 20% of the transaction price.
Median Error:
Half of the Zestimates in an area were closer than the error percentage and half were farther off. For example, in Seattle, Zestimates for half of the homes are within 7.5% of the selling price, and half are off by more than 7.5%.
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